Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
HB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Skála are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
13.0%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00