Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
HB Koge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Roskilde are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Roskilde holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60