Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceHB II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while B36 II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and b36 II hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Deild, favouring a draw with 11.3% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.5%
Model confidence
11.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HB IILDLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
B36 IILLWLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HB IIB36 II
35.2Attack57.4
48.1Defence33.3
31.5Form42.6
39.8Power44.0
1.54xG1.72