GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penybont · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Haverfordwest County AFC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Penybont are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penybont

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

13.6%

Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Haverfordwest County AFCLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PenybontWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Haverfordwest County AFCPenybont
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
21.5Power64.8
1.18xG1.46
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