GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caerau (Ely) · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Haverfordwest County AFC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Caerau (Ely) are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Caerau (Ely) hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Caerau (Ely) holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caerau (Ely)

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Caerau (Ely) has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Haverfordwest County AFCWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caerau (Ely)LWDWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Haverfordwest County AFCCaerau (Ely)
33.3Attack66.7
44.4Defence50.0
33.3Form44.4
40.3Power53.0
1.54xG1.92
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