Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Haukar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kári are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80