Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Haukar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KFG are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.6% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
86.6%
Model confidence
86.6%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00