Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Haukar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fjolnir are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60