Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Haugesund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sotra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 79.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
12.1%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40