Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Haugesund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Raufoss are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40