Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Haugesund are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Moss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.4% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20