Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Haugesund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Egersund are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80