Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Haugesund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Asane are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00