GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hartlepool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hartlepool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Grimsby are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartlepool hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hartlepool holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hartlepool

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Hartlepool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HartlepoolWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GrimsbyDDDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HartlepoolGrimsby
80.0Attack57.1
53.3Defence57.1
60.0Form47.6
61.8Power54.8
2.07xG1.53
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