GGOALVIO

Hartlepool logoHartlepoolvsBarrow logoBarrow

COMPLETED

England · National League · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hartlepool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hartlepool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barrow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartlepool hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the National League, while Hartlepool holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hartlepool

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

10.8%

Hartlepool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HartlepoolWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BarrowWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HartlepoolBarrow
50.7Attack0.0
40.6Defence33.3
43.5Form0.0
47.0Power15.3
1.90xG1.44
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