Hartlepoolvs
Barrow
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hartlepool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hartlepool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barrow are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartlepool hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the National League, while Hartlepool holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hartlepool
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
10.8%
Hartlepool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60