GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticLDWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Orange County SCDWWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
24.1Attack50.9
68.5Defence61.4
38.9Form59.6
45.8Power59.6
0.62xG0.92
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