Hartford Athleticvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hartford Athletic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60