Hartford AthleticvsNew Mexico United

Hartford Athletic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.