GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Miami FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartford Athletic hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

21.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Miami FCLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hartford AthleticMiami FC
24.1Attack40.0
68.5Defence46.7
38.9Form36.7
45.8Power43.5
0.90xG0.69
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