GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Loudoun United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartford Athletic hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticLDDWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Loudoun UnitedDDLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hartford AthleticLoudoun United
24.1Attack38.9
68.5Defence44.4
38.9Form33.3
45.8Power41.4
0.94xG0.66
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