GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Indy ElevenWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hartford AthleticIndy Eleven
24.1Attack39.2
68.5Defence58.8
38.9Form43.1
45.8Power49.1
0.68xG0.68
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