GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hartford Athletic are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hartford AthleticDDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
El Paso LocomotiveWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hartford AthleticEl Paso Locomotive
24.1Attack50.9
68.5Defence52.6
38.9Form49.1
45.8Power52.0
0.78xG0.90
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