Hartford Athleticvs
El Paso Locomotive
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hartford Athletic are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20