Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Harstad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Skjervøy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Harstad hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Harstad holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Harstad
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
8.3%
Harstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00