Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kortrijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Harelbeke are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kortrijk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kortrijk hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 32.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kortrijk holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kortrijk
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Kortrijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40