GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ludogorets are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LudogoretsWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
58.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
58.3Form16.7
62.0Power31.3
1.96xG0.98
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