GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/24/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hangzhou Greentown hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Shenyang UrbanWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownShenyang Urban
49.2Attack44.4
42.9Defence47.6
46.0Form38.1
47.3Power44.0
1.69xG1.39
View match centre →