GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/14/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shanghai ShenhuaWLLDD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hangzhou GreentownShanghai Shenhua
49.2Attack60.3
42.9Defence46.0
46.0Form50.8
47.3Power53.6
1.70xG1.94
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