GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shandong LunengWWWDL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
49.2Attack60.9
42.9Defence44.9
46.0Form56.5
47.3Power55.0
1.72xG1.97
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