GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/14/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hangzhou Greentown hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao JonoonDWDLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownQingdao Jonoon
49.2Attack44.9
42.9Defence36.2
46.0Form30.4
47.3Power38.9
2.10xG1.38
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