GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownDWLLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingDWWLD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownDalian Zhixing
49.2Attack50.8
42.9Defence42.9
46.0Form50.8
47.3Power50.2
1.81xG1.62
View match centre →