GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/15/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

10.5%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownLWDWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Chengdu Better CityLDDDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hangzhou GreentownChengdu Better City
49.2Attack63.6
42.9Defence66.7
46.0Form68.2
47.3Power66.7
1.01xG2.13
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