Hamrun Spartansvs
NSI Runavik
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamrun Spartans · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hamrun Spartans are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while NSI Runavik are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and NSI Runavik hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hamrun Spartans
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80