GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamrun Spartans · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamrun Spartans are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while NSI Runavik are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and NSI Runavik hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamrun Spartans

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamrun SpartansDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NSI RunavikDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hamrun SpartansNSI Runavik
33.3Attack38.9
50.0Defence55.6
16.7Form44.4
36.5Power48.5
1.31xG1.21
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