GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hammarby Talang are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FBK Karlstad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and hammarby Talang hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ettan - Norra, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.5%

Model confidence

11.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hammarby TalangLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FBK KarlstadWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hammarby TalangFBK Karlstad
40.0Attack53.3
52.2Defence33.3
44.4Form34.4
47.3Power42.1
1.77xG1.39
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