GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hamilton Olympic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton OlympicLWDLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicBelmont Swansea
61.9Attack71.4
39.7Defence34.9
33.3Form55.6
44.3Power55.7
2.56xG2.52
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