GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Elgin City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 53.0-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the League Cup, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalLDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Elgin CityLLLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton AcademicalElgin City
58.3Attack16.7
83.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
64.2Power11.2
2.61xG0.85
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