GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Celtic II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 46.6-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Challenge Cup, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

8.7%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalWWWLD

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Celtic IIWDWLL

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton AcademicalCeltic II
100.0Attack33.3
22.2Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
62.0Power15.3
2.68xG1.51
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