GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alloa Athletic are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 59.5-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the League One, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

12.2%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalWWLDW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alloa AthleticDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form16.7
96.0Power36.5
1.78xG0.91
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