GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hamilton Academical are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Airdrie United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the League One, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

12.4%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamilton AcademicalLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Airdrie UnitedWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form33.3
96.0Power48.3
1.75xG0.92
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