Hamburger SVvs
Lille
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hamburger SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lille are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and lille hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.6% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.7%
Model confidence
10.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60