GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Everton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hamburger SV are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Everton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Everton holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Everton

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Everton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hamburger SVWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
EvertonLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hamburger SVEverton
66.7Attack52.4
40.0Defence66.7
46.7Form52.4
53.0Power57.0
1.53xG1.70
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