Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ham-Kam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ham-Kam are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Start are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ham-Kam hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the Eliteserien, while Ham-Kam holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ham-Kam
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Ham-Kam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40