Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ham-Kam are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lyn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 47.8-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20