Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Ham-Kam are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brann are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Eliteserien, while Brann holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80