Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Haka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while TPV are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40