Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hadamar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20