GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 7/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gyeongju HNP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Siheung Citizen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyeongju HNPLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Siheung CitizenWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Gyeongju HNPSiheung Citizen
33.3Attack44.0
61.9Defence56.0
40.5Form46.4
47.2Power51.2
0.93xG0.93
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