Gwangju FCvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 3/7/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Gwangju FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Incheon United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80