Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avarta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
GVI are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Avarta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Avarta hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the DBU Pokalen, while Avarta holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avarta
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Avarta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00