Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Gute are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Korsnäs are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80