Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gute are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Falu BS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60