Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
WSPG Wels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gurten are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while WSPG Wels are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and WSPG Wels hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while WSPG Wels holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
WSPG Wels
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
WSPG Wels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80